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Critical Analysis of Monetary Policy of the EU and its Impact on Countries in the Eurozone
Vavříková, Andrea ; Gabzdylová, Jana (referee) ; Škapa, Stanislav (advisor)
Diplomová práce se zabývá problematikou měnové politiky v Evropské unii, respektive v Evropské měnové unii. Samotnému vzniku Evropské měnové unie předcházelo dlouhé období integračních procesů a je spojováno se dvěma mezníky. Prvním mezníkem byl vznik Evropské centrální banky, která představuje jednu z nejdůležitějších institucí a je zodpovědná za provádění jednotné měnové politiky v eurozóně. Druhým důležitým momentem bylo zavedení společné evropské měny, eura. Navzdory podstatným obchodním výhodám spojených s přijetím eura se brzy ukázalo, že jednotná měnová politika nemusí vyhovovat všem zemím kvůli jejich odlišným ekonomickým potřebám a schopnostem, které vyžadují různou měnovou politiku. Tato práce se soustředí na současnou ekonomickou situaci v eurozóně se zvláštním důrazem na otázku dluhové krize.
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The spillover effects of quantitative easing on major emerging economies: the case of South Africa
Kaulinge, Ndilimeke Nelao Mbabyona
In this study, I analyse the potential spillover effects of large-scale asset purchases (LSAP) or quantitative easing (QE) implemented by the US Federal Reserve Bank (US Fed) and European Central Bank (ECB) on the South African economy. To start, I survey the literature and summarize the general themes that arise. The two main themes that I focused on for my research were that QE depreciated global currency rates and raised sovereign bond rates and that strong country fundamentals mitigated against the spillover effects of QE. I highlight the importance of macroeconomic and financial variables in determining the effects of QE, therefore the chosen model incorporates interest rates, credit default swap spreads, debt to GDP ratio, GDP growth, inflation, market capitalization to GDP and credit ratings. I quantify the effects of QE on South African long-term government bond yields and foreign exchange rates using a vector autoregressive (VAR) model, while making use of monthly data from March 2009 to December 2021. I measure the shock of QE using impulse response functions with a 24-month horizon. I found that QE implemented by the US Fed and the ECB significantly affected long-term government bond yields and foreign exchange rates in South Africa, and that they responded more to US QE than to ECB QE. While acknowledging that the model does not account for certain structural and socio-economic issues prevalent in South Africa today, I recommend that policymakers take steps toward developing domestic policies and institutions, maintaining a robust current account balance, reducing energy shortages, and maintaining political stability.
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Komparace využívání nástrojů Evropské centrální banky během ekonomických krizí
Harviščák, Erik
The diploma thesis compares the use of monetary policy tools by the European Central Bank during economic crises. Specifically, it compares the response to the economic crisis caused by the 2008 financial market crash and the economic crisis associated with the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic in 2020. Since the establishment of the European Central Bank in 1998, these are the two most significant shocks in terms of economic development. The thesis analyzes the development of monetary policy tools used during the crisis based on available literature. Based on these tools, indicators for eurozone countries that reflect the use of monetary policy tools are analyzed and compared. These indicators include key interest rates, interbank interest rates, and interest rates for households and businesses, as well as an indicator of active loans in the eurozone and quantitative easing. Along with these indicators, macroeconomic indicators are analyzed in the thesis, including the development of the price level and prices on stock markets. Above all, indicators of interest rates and quantitative easing confirm the different response of the European Central Bank to the compared crises. During the first crisis, the focus was mainly on increasing interest rates, due the increasing price level. In contrast, during the pandemic, record-high funds were provided through quantitative easing programs to stimulate economic growth.
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Důsledky kvantitativního uvolňování v Evropě a USA
Kocveldová, Gabriela
This thesis investigates consequences of quantitative easing in Euro area and in the USA, especially for the fixed-income market. Empirical part of the thesis is split into the analysis of individual phases of quantitative easing in the USA and into the evaluation of consequences on chosen macroeconomic indicators. Same procedure is applied for the Euro area.
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ECB monetary policy and commodity prices
Aliyev, S. ; Kočenda, Evžen
We assess the impact of ECB monetary policy on global aggregate and sectoral commodity prices over 2001–2019. We employ a SVAR model and separately assess periods before and after the global financial crisis. Our key results indicate that contractionary monetary policy shocks have positive effects on commodity prices during both conventional and unconventional monetary policy periods, indicating the effectiveness of unconventional monetary policy tools. The largest impact is documented on fuel and food commodities. Our results also suggest that the effect of ECB monetary policy on commodity prices transmits through the exchange rate channel, which influences European market demand.
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Ideal Crisis Management Mechanism for Credit Institutions and Investment Firms in the European Union
Kropjok, Vít ; Kohajda, Michael (referee)
Ideal Crisis Management Mechanism for Credit Institutions and Investment Firms in the European Union Abstract: The 2007-8 financial crisis brought about the most severe economic contraction since the Great Depression. Regulators on both sides of the Atlantic were taken aback and soon realized that they had no tools to deal with distressed banks and other financial services firms, failure of which could undermine financial stability not only within individual states, but also on a global scale. As a result, central banks of in particular the United States and the Eurozone became the most important actors in the fight against the unfolding crisis and de facto the only "governmental agencies" capable of swift and decisive measures. Their timely and vigorous reaction most likely warded off the collapse of the global financial system, though it was not without controversies. These controversies are analyzed in this dissertation in order to find out what role should central bank have during financial crisis. Governments followed central banks with massive bank bailouts. In many countries, governments went beyond liquidity provision and nationalized their banks, which threatened their own solvency. Although the global financial system has been largely restored in the last decade, it has been achieved at huge...
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Media Treatment of Monetary Policy Surprises and Their Impact on Firms’ and Consumers’ Expectations
Pinter, J. ; Kočenda, Evžen
We empirically investigate whether monetary policy announcements affect firms’ and consumers’ expectations by taking into account media treatments of monetary policy announcements. To identify exogenous changes in monetary policy stances, we use the standard financial monetary policy surprise measures in the euro area. We then analyze how a general newspaper and a financial newspaper (Le Monde and The Financial Times) report on announcements. We find that 87 % of monetary policy surprises are either not associated with the general newspaper reporting a change in the monetary policy stance to their readers or have a sign that is inconsistent with the media report of the announcement. When we use the raw monetary policy surprises variable as an independent variable in the link between monetary policy announcements and firms’/consumers’ expectations, we mostly do not find, in line with several previous studies, any statistically significant association. When we take only monetary policy surprises that are consistent with the general newspaper report, in almost all cases we find that monetary policy surprises on the immediate monetary policy stance do affect expectations. Surprises related to future policy inclination and information shocks usually do not appear to matter. The results appear to be in line with rational inattention theories and highlight the need for caution in the use of monetary policy surprise measures for macroeconomic investigations.
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Relationship between the central bank and commercial bank
Pastorčák, Jan ; Bakeš, Milan (advisor) ; Karfíková, Marie (referee)
Relations of Central bank to Commercial banks The purpose of my thesis is to analyse relations among central bank and commercial banks in current view with emphasising on situation in the Czech Republic. This analysis is a critical appraisal of issues in relation to current legislation, and last but not least also the planned changes, which are currently under discussion. The thesis is divided into five chapters with introduction and abstract. Chapter One is introductory and defines basic terminology used in the thesis like banking system, central bank and commercial banks. This chapter is subdivided into four parts. Part One describes central bank and banking system. Part Two describes central bank, its position, activity and tools. Part Third is focused on commercial banks. Final part deals with trends in the development of the banking sector. Chapter Two characterises subjects of banking system in the Czech Republic and is divided into two parts. Part One outlines organizational structure of the CNB and its main functions. Part Two outlines organizational structure of commercials banks in the Czech Republic. Chapter Three concentrates on banking regulation and supervision and its division. Part One analyzes arguments for and against bank regulation. Part Two is focused on banking regulation and...
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Supervision in banking industry
Kubáňová, Klára ; Vondráčková, Pavlína (advisor) ; Kohajda, Michael (referee)
The aim of submitted thesis Supervision in banking is to define the nature and the importance of banking supervision, to justify its existence and to analyze the applicable mechanisms while the system of banking regulation and supervision in this thesis is primarily examined in the European context, with a focus on the Czech Republic. The thesis is divided into five main chapters. The first chapter is devoted to the financial system and the importance of banks in this system, it defines the characteristics of banking systems, provides the definition of the term bank and describes the banking system and the banking environment in the Czech Republic. The second chapter focuses on general aspects of banking regulation and supervision, it defines and distinguishes these concepts; furthermore, it specifies its objectives and deals with the arguments against banking regulation and supervision. The third chapter analyzes the various instruments of banking regulation, in particular the banking license, and other particular requirements, including but not limited to capital adequacy requirement. The chapter also deals with the compulsory deposits insurance and the position of the central bank as a lender of last resort. The fourth chapter focuses on banking supervision, which involves mainly the examination...
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Legal aspects for the adoption of common European currency in the Czech Republic
Růžička, Michal ; Kohajda, Michael (advisor) ; Kotáb, Petr (referee)
Legal aspects of the single European currency adoption in the Czech Republic The Czech Republic as a member state of the European Union is obliged to adopt the single European currency as soon as possible. This commitment is connected with plenty of tasks that have to precede the euro adoption. The fulfilment of convergence and legal criteria belongs to main assignments. The purpose of my thesis is to define the main aspects connected with the adaptation process of the Czech legal environment according to demands of the European law that have to precede the euro introduction and prepare a suitable environment for its troublefree functioning. The thesis consists of five chapters, each of them dealing with different aspects of the single European currency adoption. First chapter is introductory and outlines the main questionable issues that I deal with in my thesis. Second chapter brings general aspects of the single European currency introduction, especially explains briefly a history of the constitution of the economic and monetary union, further specifies legal and economic conditions necessary for euro adoption. A brief appraisal of the functioning of this unique concept is included at the end of this chapter. Third chapter focuses at the beginning on evaluation of fulfilment of legal and...
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